FORECAST 38
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Predictions will generally be posted by Friday each week,
AND the analyses should be up by Wednesday following each weekend’s games.
The odds that I quote on each game are the first available and are quite
possibly subject to change as the game day approaches.
WEEK 38 May 24
All times are Mountain Standard Time
LAST WEEK’S SUMMARY
SUMMARY
Well, that’s it for the season. Arsenal wins the league and Wolverhampton, Burnley and West Ham go down. Ipswich return to the Premier League after one year and are joined by Coventry and Hull.
Now for the Timo Werner Award: But first a quick reminder of who Timo Werner was/is. Once upon a time there was a young German footballer named Timo Werner. He showed lots of promise and was eventually signed by Chelsea where, for a while, he continued to impress and was even included in his national team. Then the gloss began to wear off. He began to have less and less impact on the games he appeared in. Chelsea finally got rid of him and he went back to play for RB Leipzig, from whence he came. Chelsea sent him back to Germany after two years for half of what they paid for him. In four years he could only score 11 goals and Leipzig realized that they couldn’t use him. He then went to Tottenham on loan. In 31 games (I don’t think this number takes into account how many times he came on as a sub). He scored all of two goals. If that wasn’t bad enough, it was the misses that buried him. Time and time again he would screw up sitting ducks in front of empty goals. There are videos of his antics at this point in his career, and they would be hilarious if they weren’t so tragic. Tottenham had many injury problems at this time I can only suppose that that was why he had as much playing time as he did. Whenever he took the field it was watching a train wreck running into a dumpster fire. Needless to say, Spurs didn’t pick up on his loan option and offloaded him back to Leipzig who dumped him like a bad habit to the San Jose Earthquakes.
That is why we award the Timo Werner Award to the most useless player in the Premier League 2025/2026.
There were two main candidates for the honor of the biggest waste of time for a player in the Premier League.
Milo Kerkez and Alehandro Garnacho, but there was a third candidate that made a strong run at the end of the season and taking the entire season into account, he made a pretty good argument for the award.
First off: Alehandro Garnacho: Chelsea bought this Spanish winger for approx $48 million at the beginning of the season from Manchester United. The fans at United had come to realize that he was all but useless and getting the price that they did for him was a major stroke of luck. Since he has been at Chelsea he has managed one league goal, not what you would call a great return for your investment. His style of play is somewhat similar to Werner’s efforts when he was at Tottenham. Run up and down the wing, get the occasional cross in but more often than not lose the ball before he can accomplish anything of note.
His market value is supposed to be around $40 million, good luck finding anyone soft enough to pay that much for this complete waste of space.
Second: Milos Kerkez: Liverpool bought him from Bournemouth where he had a certain amount of success. Born in Serbia, he has managed to play for the Hungarian National team. Maybe the system at Liverpool took some getting used too but he has been somewhat of an embarrassment. He is supposed to play in the full back spot, but you can often find him out of position running up and down the wings and not really achieving anything. Earlier on in the season his favorite move seemed to be the backwards pass to his goalkeeper and because of this his team-mates were very reluctant to pass him the ball. For some unknown reason he does find himself in goalscoring positions, but very rarely produces anything worthwhile. He has scored twice this year but the first one he was just at the wrong place at the right time and the ball bounced off him into the net. Three other notes. He’s not much of a defender; he gets beaten way too often. When he does lose the ball, more often than not, lots of time he lays on the pitch, throwing a tantrum, waving his arms like a kid that has just had his favorite toy taken from him. The third thing is his height; it is posted at 5’11”. If he is 5’ 11” then I’m the Queen of the Faries. If you see him standing next to all the other Liverpool players, they all must be 8ft tall. Over the months he has improved somewhat, therefore he doesn’t win the Trophy, but it was close.
And The winner: Brennan Johnson: Spurs unloaded him halfway through the season to Crystal Palace. Tottenham weren’t doing so great at that point so it would make sense for them to keep anyone who could be relied on to get them out of a jam. Johnson wasn’t that player. Palace thought he may be the answer to their lack of goals but I’m thinking that they had never seen him play. He may have been Spurs top scorer the previous year but that was a year when they finished 17th in the table, one place above relegation. They managed to get approx. $45 Million for him and considering his performance so far that’s about $46 million too much. He has contributed absolutely nothing in his spell at Palace. In 18 appearances he has never scored, and that’s not a good stat considering he is supposed to be a striker. Also true to his form at Tottenham he doesn’t create anything when he does get the ball. At this point I don’t think you could give him away. As he didn’t join Palace until halfway through the season, he had to finish fast to overcome Kerkez and Garnacho but that was one accomplishment he did manage to pull off.
The Winner of The Timo Werner Award for the most useless player in the Premier League 25/26 goes to: BRENNAN JOHNSON, Crystal Palace.

WEEK 38 GAME 1 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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BRIGHTON |
MANCHESTER UNITED |
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| Odds -1/2 | O/U 3 | Odds +1/2 | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: Interesting to see Brighton as favorites here. Maybe the oddsmakers see United not making much of an effort here as they have clinched third place in the Table and can’t go any higher, or lower. Brighton, on the other hand, need these points for their invitation to Europe next year. Without getting too carried away, maybe a modest bet on Brighton. Brighton -1/2 | |||||||
| RESULTS: 0-3 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: Brighton needed the points to guarantee a place in the top European competitions next season. The kind of performance they delivered against United was never likely to make that hope a reality. They ended up qualifying for the third tier of contests which is better than nothing. Manchester’s position in the Table was not going to change whatever the outcome. So maybe the lack of pressure to get a result gave the team a more relaxed approach to this game. They certainly looked more comfortable, and it turned into an easy victory for the home team, and an insipid end to the season for the visitors. | |||||||
WEEK 38 GAME 2 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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BURNLEY |
WOLVERHAMPTON |
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| Odds PICK | O/U 2 1/2 | Odds PICK | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: The battle in the basement. Obviously neither one of these teams has anything to play for. To bet on this game, I think you would have to be from either Lancashire or Wolverhampton. It’s basically a coin flip so I’m going to say. No Bet. | |||||||
| RESULTS: 1-1 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: A fitting result for two teams that failed to impress this season. Wolves started on the front foot and were awarded a penalty after only 4 minutes had passed. At the kickoff for the second half Burnley had equalized and from then on it was all Clarets. A very rare stat for Burnley was 70% possession, numbers I don’t think they have been able to match any time this season. I don’t think we will see The Clarets back in the Premier League for a while. Main reason being James Trafford. He was on loan last year from Manchester City, but the goalkeeper was called back at the beginning of this season and for my money he is probably the best young ‘keeper talent in English football. As for Wolves, For various reasons I don’t think we will be seeing them back amongst the top clubs for a while. | |||||||
WEEK 38 GAME 3 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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LIVERPOOL |
BRENTFORD |
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| Odds -1/2 | O/U 3 | Odds +1/2 | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: Liverpool’s final game of the season is being played on their home ground. After last week’s humiliation at Aston Villa and a generally disappointing season overall, I think the Reds will go out on a winning note. Brentford would like these points, but I don’t see Liverpool obliging them. Liverpool -1/2 | |||||||
| RESULTS: 1-1 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: Liverpool could only scratch out a draw against Brentford and bring an end to a very unsatisfactory season. Brentford miss out of Europe on goal difference to Brighton, but Liverpool will be in the Champions League, with their worse points total in many years. Arne Slot has to be looking over his shoulder and if he isn’t replaced in the off season and they start next year like they finished this he’ll be down the road in short order. |
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WEEK 38 GAME 4 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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FULHAM |
NEWCASTLE |
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| Odds Pick | O/U 3 | Odds Pick | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: Another two teams that end up with a disappointing end to their seasons, especially Newcastle. The Magpies manager, Eddie Howe, seems to be secure in his job for at least one more season, but just because they are at home, I’ll go with Fulham here. Fulham. PICK. | |||||||
| RESULTS: 2-0 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: A respectful enough end to the season for Fulham, not so much Newcastle. The Magpies had a much better outlook on this season than what actually happened. All-in-all a season best forgotten for the Geordies. Eddie Howe is another coach that could be skating on thin ice, and there needs to be much improvement next year if he is to retain his job. While Fulham can consider themselves unlucky in more than a few games this year the same cannot be said for Newcastle. They have performed below par for much of the season and very rarely showed flashes of the kind of play that they are capable of. | |||||||
WEEK 38 GAME 5 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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NOTTINGHAM FOREST |
BOURNEMOUTH |
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| Odds Pick | O/U 3 | Odds Pick | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: Bournemouth had an impressive run at the end of this season, but so did Forest. The Cherries could be running out of steam, and I think this may go close. A draw looks more likely, but just because they are in front of their home crowd, I’ll go with the home team. Nottingham Forest. PICK. | |||||||
| RESULTS: 1-1 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: I should have stayed with my original thoughts as Bournemouth served up their usual result, a draw. That’s 18 for the season 6 more than their nearest rivals. Nottingham Forest were on their fourth manager of the season and Vitor Pereira seems to have gotten it right. He saved the Tricky Trees from relegation with an impressive run at the end of the campaign five points clear of the drop zone. Bournemouth, even with all their draws, ended the season going 18 games without a loss, a record that not even League champions Arsenal could claim. | |||||||
WEEK 38 GAME 6 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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MANCHESTER CITY |
ASTON VILLA |
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| Odds -1 1/2 | O/U 2 1/2 | Odds +1 1/2 | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: With all chances of catching Arsenal gone, and with the Carabao and FA Cups won this year, the Citizens could be excused if they take it easy against Aston Villa. They would like to send Pep Guardiola off on a winning note, but a 1-1/2 goal handicap may seem a little steep. I’ll take Villa to keep it close. Aston Villa +1 1/2 | |||||||
| RESULTS: 1-2 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: Ollie Watkin’s two goals put paid to Pep Guardiola finishing on a winning note at the end of his tenure at City. The game had a subdued feel to it as Manchester fielded a team with lots of big names missing. Villa also left many players out compared to the side that they used to win the Europa Cup a few days earlier. Guardiola may have lost his last game but still bagged two major trophies to bring his total over 10 years to 20. | |||||||
WEEK 38 GAME 7 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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SUNDERLAND |
CHELSEA |
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| Odds +1/2 | O/U 2 1/2 | Odds -1/2 | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: Sunderland play their last game at home and wrap up a season that exceeded their expectations. The same couldn’t be said for Chelsea. The Blues need the summer break to reassess their options and try to improve on this year’s efforts. They have the talent, and with just a few exceptions, they just need to get them on the same page. Sunderland at home for me. Sunderland +1/2 | |||||||
| RESULTS: 2-1 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: Sunderland put the final nail in Chelsea’s season with a victory that puts them in the Europa Cup next year and pushes Chelsea out of contention for any trips to the Continent in their near future. The Cats had the game pretty much under control for most of the time until Chelsea started to wake up, but just as they looked like they might make a game of it Wesley Fofana was sent off for a second yellow card. For the most part the Blues seemed that they would rather be anywhere else than facing Sunderland, or anyone else for that matter. This last game just about sums up their absolutely horrible season and is in direct contrast to Sunderland’s triumphant return to the Premier League. | |||||||
WEEK XX GAME 8 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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CRYSTAL PALACE |
ARSENAL |
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| Odds -1/2 | O/U 2 1/2 | Odds -1/2 | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: Who knows with this one. Arsenal doesn’t need it and Palace have no use for the points. The odds changed from Arsenal -1 to -1/2… does that mean that the odds makers think that the Gunners are just going to coast? I think this one is best left alone. No Bet. | |||||||
| RESULTS: 1-2 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: In a game that meant little to either team Arsenal managed a 2-1 win over The Eagles. Both teams trotted out an array of players not usually seen as starters. Max Dowman especially playing in the #9 position for Arsenal looked a little overwhelmed, but at just 16 years old he has a lot to learn. It didn’t seem that either team cared much about the result and for the most part were just going through the motions. What I will say is if Palace don’t buck up their ideas they are going to be joining their neighbors West Ham in the Championship League after the end of next season. | |||||||
WEEK 38 GAME 9 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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TOTTENHAM |
EVERTON |
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| Odds -1/2 | O/U 2 1/2 | Odds +1/2 | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: The last relegation spot is still to be decided. All Spurs need is a draw so I expect this game to be intense. Tottenham are favored by 1/2 a goal and I think they may just make it. Tottenham -1/2 | |||||||
| RESULTS: 1-0 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: One of the only two games that really mattered this week. Spurs entered the game with purpose and determination and as expected piled the pressure on the visitors. The breakthrough came just before half time when Joao Palhinha prodded home his own rebound off of the post to score the only goal. In the second half Everton had more of the ball but couldn’t produce anything of note. Until right at the end when Antonin Kinsky produce a fine diving save to keep all the points in North London and Spurs in the Premier League. Even if Everton had scored a draw would have been enough for Tottenham. As the season came to a close Everton finishing in 13th place, West Ham getting relegated and Spurs staying up was just about right in my book | |||||||
WEEK 38 GAME 10 – Sun May 24th 9:00 |
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WEST HAM |
LEEDS |
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| Odds -1/2 | O/U 2 1/2 | Odds +1/2 | |||||
| PREDICTIONS: The other relegation battle. This one should also be a hard fought game. If the Hammers can win this and Spurs lose then they will be safe. Leeds are the underdogs here, they really don’t have much to play for but I think they are a better team than West Ham and as competitive as Leeds are I see them winning this. Leeds +1/2 | |||||||
| RESULTS: 3-0 | |||||||
| ANALYSIS: West Ham may have saved their best game for last but eventually it was all for naught. They had to win against Leeds, and their only hope was that Everton would beat Tottenham, and as inconsistent as Spurs have been, well consistently bad actually, that was a tall order. The Whites were pretty flat, and The Hammers made no mistake by doing all that was in their power to keep up their end of what was needed. The writing has been on the wall for a West Ham side that has been flirting with disaster since at least the middle of last season. As I pointed out last year, they really were not good enough for the Top Tier and despite their improvement towards the end of this year even if they had been saved, they would have faced the same dilemma next time around. | |||||||



















